BTC market file Rank #1 Layer 1
Bitcoin
Bitcoin is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto.
- Market cap
- $1.52T
- Layer 1 share
- 70.4%
- Volume (24h)
- $10.61B0.7% of cap
- Circulating supply
- 20.11Mof 21M max
- Fully diluted value
- $1.52T
PRICE HISTORY
Bitcoin price chart
MODEL SCENARIOS
Bitcoin price prediction
How far Bitcoin could move over the coming weeks and months, read from its own past year of daily moves, with the evidence behind each range. Recomputed daily.
- Actual
- Median
- 50%
- 80%
- 95%
$69,910.00 median -7.7% · 80% band $52,839.70–$91,355.00
Actual daily closes from Nov 9, 2025 to the $75,763.99 reference close on Nov 8, 2026. The median and the 50%, 80% and 95% bands extend to Feb 6, 2027.
How this prediction is built
Dextape resamples Bitcoin’s own daily price changes to estimate a range of possible future prices. The model replays the observed daily returns in random order along 1,200 paths, then reads the spread of outcomes at each day of the horizon. It shows how wide outcomes have been, not where the price will go, and it is not investment advice.
- 01Return sample365 days
365 observed daily log returns from the trailing year, used as drawn.
- 02Bootstrap paths1,200 paths
Seeded resampling, so the same inputs always give the same bands.
- 03Historical replay63% inside
8 past windows re-run with the same method; a calibrated 80% band holds about 80% of realised closes.
Model sensitivities
| Horizon | Median | 80% band width | Replay coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | $75,270.60 | ±7.7% | 89% of 80 |
| 30D | $73,880.20 | ±15.9% | 68% of 31 |
| 90D | $69,910.00 | ±25.4% | 63% of 8 |
| 1Y | $55,388.30 | ±44.6% | — |
Band width grows roughly with the square root of the horizon, as expected for independent daily draws.
Technical details
Log returns from the trailing 365 daily closes are drawn with replacement (a stationary bootstrap with a fixed seed per asset, horizon and reference date, so the output is reproducible). Percentiles of the cumulative return across paths form the 50%, 80% and 95% bands. The historical replay refits the same method on rolling 120-day windows of the past year and counts how often the realised close landed inside the 80% band. No drift, volatility clustering or external signals are modelled.
Risks and limitations
- The sample is one year of this asset’s history. Events outside it, such as a delisting, an exploit or a regime change, are not represented.
- Daily returns are drawn independently, so volatility clustering and trends are understated. Real drawdowns can run deeper and longer than the bands.
- The bands describe the model’s outcomes. They are not a probability that the price reaches any level, and nothing here is a recommendation.
Probabilistic scenario analysis from public Binance daily closes, recomputed daily. Not a guarantee or investment recommendation.
MARKET SIGNAL
Why Bitcoin reads neutral
Historical position supports the reading: 93% of the log range from the all-time low to the high. The evidence below produces a neutral reading of current conditions, not a price forecast.
Score drivers i
- Momentum55% weight-6.3 pts
- Historical position20% weight+8.6 pts
- Milestone recency15% weight0 pts
- Volume confirmation10% weight0 pts
Historical position i
93% of the way from the all-time low to the high, on a log scale.
Momentum evidence i
- 24h
- -0.13%
- 7d
- -2.85%
- 30d
- -8.58% Highest weight
- 200d
- -4.54%
- 1y
- -25.57%
Market context · not scored
- Volume (24h)
- $10.61B
- Turnover
- 0.70%
- Overall rank
- #1
- Circulating supply
- 20.11M
How this score is calculated Model v1.0
The score starts at a neutral 50 and adds four bounded drivers. Momentum (55%) blends the 24h, 7d, 30d, 200d and 1y moves; each passes through a saturating curve (tanh of the move over a per-window scale of 5, 12, 25, 50 and 80 points) and is weighted 10, 20, 40, 20 and 10 percent. Historical position (20%) maps the log-scale position between the all-time low and high onto −10 to +10 points. Milestone recency (15%) adds up to 7.5 points for an all-time high inside the past 30, 90 or 365 days and subtracts the same for a recent low. Volume confirmation (10%) adds up to 5 points in the direction of the day’s move once 24h turnover exceeds 2% of market value, saturating at 10%.
Readings of 60 or more are labelled bullish, 40 or less bearish. Missing inputs contribute zero and lower the reported data coverage instead of being guessed.
TODAY’S TRADING
Bitcoin market analysis
Price movement i
28% of the way from the day's low to its high · 0.75% range width
- 1h
- -0.38%
- 24h
- -0.13%
- 7d
- -2.85%
- 30d
- -8.58%
- 200d
- -4.54%
- 1y
- -25.57%
Trading activity is quiet i
- Turnover
- 0.70%24h volume ÷ market cap. Above 8% reads as active, below 2% as quiet.
- 24h range
- 0.75%High minus low as a share of the current price.
- Range position
- 28%0% is the day's low, 100% the high.
- Rank in Layer 1
- 37 of 180By 24-hour price change among tracked peers.
Volume is reported activity, not order-book liquidity. These figures describe observations, not a recommendation.
What if the price moves?
Change per BTC: $7,569.70. A calculation, not a prediction.
WHERE IT TRADES
Bitcoin markets
Exchange pairs reported by CoinGecko. Venues that are unrated, stale, anomalous or wide-spread stay hidden until you ask for them.
| Exchange | Pair | Price | 24h volume | Spread | Trust |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bybit | BTC/USDC | $75,688.00 | $489.36M | 0.01% | Established |
| Binance | BTC/USDT | $75,776.00 | $382.16M | 0.01% | Established |
| Bybit | BTC/USDT | $75,779.00 | $216.46M | 0.01% | Established |
| Gate | BTC/USDT | $75,780.00 | $144.3M | 0.01% | Established |
| Coinbase Exchange | BTC/USD | $75,824.00 | $134.19M | 0.01% | Established |
| OKX | BTC/USDT | $75,763.00 | $133.09M | 0.01% | Established |
| KuCoin | BTC/USDT | $75,783.00 | $113.09M | 0.01% | Established |
| Crypto.com Exchange | BTC/USD | $75,851.00 | $77.7M | 0.01% | Established |
| Bullish | BTC/USDC | $75,680.00 | $64.31M | 0.01% | Established |
| Bitget | BTC/USDT | $75,766.00 | $58.11M | 0.01% | Established |
| Binance | BTC/USDC | $75,693.00 | $54.82M | 0.01% | Established |
| Kraken | XBT/USD | $75,828.00 | $53.17M | 0.01% | Established |
| Binance | BTC/U | $75,767.00 | $39.99M | 0.01% | Established |
| Bitstamp by Robinhood | BTC/USD | $75,825.00 | $33.48M | 0.01% | Established |
| Binance | BTC/USD1 | $75,768.00 | $29.67M | 0.02% | Established |
| OKX | BTC/USDC | $75,681.00 | $27.35M | 0.01% | Established |
| Crypto.com Exchange | BTC/USDT | $75,775.00 | $19.64M | 0.01% | Established |
| Coinbase Exchange | BTC/EUR | $75,899.00 | $18.5M | 0.01% | Established |
| Tothemoon | ETH/BTC | $75,788.00 | $15.05M | 0.13% | Established |
| Bullish | BTC/USD | $75,822.00 | $14.57M | 0.01% | Established |
FOLLOW THE STORY
Bitcoin news & coverage
Reporting that mentions Bitcoin, with the original publisher identified.
Former FBI Agent Admits to $2.47 Million Crypto Theft
Trump Administration Inches Closer to Opening 401(k)s to CryptoTwo solo Bitcoin miners each win over $230,000 within hours
Two Solo Bitcoin Miners Beat Million-to-One Odds to Win $230,000Bitcoin mining difficulty sits about 5% below its October 2025 record
Bitcoin Mining Enters a New Reality: Even the China Ban Wasn’t This BadWallet revenue fell 60% in H1 2026 as gaming and gambling grew
Crypto Wallets Lose $700M in Revenue During H1 2026: ReportOpen-source stylometry study tests Musk theory against Satoshi writing traitsElliptic traces $124 million in stolen Binance assets converted to Bitcoin
Elliptic Traces $124M in Bitcoin Swaps From Binance Hack Funds
Viral ChatGPT Memory Prompt Shows a Big Risk for Crypto Holders
Nasdaq Lists Canary’s Staked INJ ETF, Adding Another Route to Altcoin Exposure
LeBron James and Luka Doncic Hit AI Betting App With Cease-and-Desist Letters Over ‘Unauthorized Use’ of Likeness
We Are Still Early: One Brutal Wall Street Session Erased More Than the Entire Crypto MarketTHE BASICS
About Bitcoin
Bitcoin is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It enables peer-to-peer electronic cash transactions without intermediaries like banks or governments, operating on a blockchain secured by Proof of Work mining and the SHA-256 cryptographic algorithm. With a fixed supply cap of 21 million coins and programmatic halvings every four years that reduce miner rewards, Bitcoin is designed as a deflationary digital asset often called "digital gold." Its value stems from solving the double-spending problem without trusted intermediaries, creating the first truly scarce digital asset with censorship resistance and permissionless access that no government, corporation, or individual can control.
Bitcoin operates as a decentralized peer-to-peer network where transactions are recorded on a public ledger called the blockchain, distributed across thousands of computers globally. Transactions are grouped into blocks added approximately every 10 minutes through mining, where specialized computers compete to solve complex mathematical puzzles. Bitcoin has achieved mainstream adoption through multiple vectors. The January 2024 SEC approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs opened Bitcoin investment to traditional finance participants, and corporations like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) are using Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset to protect against currency debasement, offering MSTR holders amplified exposure to Bitcoin.
The Bitcoin ecosystem continues to evolve with innovations like Ordinals, which emerged in January 2023 to enable NFT-like functionality directly on Bitcoin, and BRC-20 tokens, an experimental standard for creating fungible tokens using Ordinal inscriptions. BTCFi (Bitcoin Finance) represents emerging financial applications extending beyond Bitcoin's traditional role, with protocols like Babylon allowing Bitcoin holders to stake BTC to secure Proof of Stake chains.
Bitcoin price today
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $75,697.00, down 0.13% in the last 24 hours. It is the largest cryptocurrency by market cap, at $1.52T, with $10.61B traded in 24 hours. Read from CoinGecko at 17:56 UTC on November 8, 2026.
| Bitcoin price | $75,697.00 |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -0.13% |
| 24h low / high | $75,541.00 / $76,106.00 |
| Market cap | $1.52T |
| Market cap rank | #1 |
| 24h volume | $10.61B |
| Circulating supply | 20.11M BTC |
| Total supply | 20.11M BTC |
| Maximum supply | 21M BTC |
| Fully diluted value | $1.52T |
| All-time high | $126,080.00 · October 6, 2025 |
| All-time low | $67.81 · July 5, 2013 |
| Hashing algorithm | SHA-256 |
| Genesis date | January 3, 2009 |
Bitcoin questions
What is the price of Bitcoin today?
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $75,697.00, down 0.13% in the last 24 hours, read from CoinGecko at 17:56 UTC on November 8, 2026. In the last 24 hours it traded between $75,541.00 and $76,106.00.
What is Bitcoin's market cap?
$1.52T, which ranks Bitcoin #1 by market capitalisation. Market cap is the price ($75,697.00) multiplied by the circulating supply (20.11M BTC). It measures the value of units in circulation, not money invested.
How many Bitcoin are there?
20.11M BTC are in circulation, of a total supply of 20.11M. The maximum supply is 21M BTC, so 95.8% of it is already in circulation.
What is Bitcoin's all-time high?
$126,080.00, reached on October 6, 2025. At $75,697.00, Bitcoin trades 40.0% below that high.
How much Bitcoin was traded in the last 24 hours?
$10.61B, equal to 0.7% of its market cap, across the exchanges CoinGecko tracks. Reported volume varies by venue and can be inflated; it is not the same as liquidity.
Why can BTC prices differ between exchanges?
Each venue has its own order book, fees and liquidity. Prices converge through arbitrage but can differ by the spread, especially on smaller venues. The markets section lists reliable venues first.
How fresh is this data?
Prices come from CoinGecko and refresh about every minute; each figure shows its source and when it was read. If the provider is unavailable, the page says so rather than showing a stale or invented number.
MARKET CONTEXT
More in Layer 1
Other Layer 1 assets by market value, from the same CoinGecko snapshot.
COMPARE
Compare Bitcoin
Side by side with the largest assets: size, returns, supply and distance from all-time high.
How to read this market file
Prices, capitalization and volume come from the displayed CoinGecko snapshot. Market capitalization and exchange volume describe different measures; neither is available liquidity for an order. Missing measurements remain blank. The chart opens the exact asset ID: bitcoin.
Data sources and editorial standards →