ETH market file Rank #2 Layer 1

Ethereum

$2,639.25-3.50% 24h

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Updated 1m ago

Market signalBullish64 / 10030D +7.50% · 46.6% below ATH

Market cap: $322.15B
Layer 1 share: 13.3%
Volume (24h): $17.04B5.3% of cap
Circulating supply: 122.08METH
Fully diluted value: $322.15B

PRICE HISTORY

Ethereum price chart

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MODEL SCENARIOS

Ethereum price prediction

How far Ethereum could move over the coming weeks and months, read from its own past year of daily moves, with the evidence behind each range. Recomputed daily.

Horizon

Reference close$2,641.98

Median outcome$2,353.48 -10.9%

Target dateDec 23, 2026

ETH 90-day range

Actual
Median
50%
80%
95%

Explore the horizon · Day 90 · Dec 23, 2026

$2,353.48 median -10.9% · 80% band $1,589.04–$3,517.64

Actual daily closes from Sep 25, 2025 to the $2,641.98 reference close on Sep 24, 2026. The median and the 50%, 80% and 95% bands extend to Dec 23, 2026.

How this prediction is built

Dextape resamples Ethereum’s own daily price changes to estimate a range of possible future prices. The model replays the observed daily returns in random order along 1,200 paths, then reads the spread of outcomes at each day of the horizon. It shows how wide outcomes have been, not where the price will go, and it is not investment advice.

01
Return sample
365 observed daily log returns from the trailing year, used as drawn.
365 days
02
Bootstrap paths
Seeded resampling, so the same inputs always give the same bands.
1,200 paths
03
Historical replay
8 past windows re-run with the same method; a calibrated 80% band holds about 80% of realised closes.
63% inside

Model sensitivities

Horizon	Median	80% band width	Replay coverage
7D	$2,612.64	±10.9%	85% of 80
30D	$2,544.83	±22.6%	74% of 31
90D	$2,353.48	±36.5%	63% of 8
1Y	$1,680.24	±56.5%	—

Band width grows roughly with the square root of the horizon, as expected for independent daily draws.

Technical details

Log returns from the trailing 365 daily closes are drawn with replacement (a stationary bootstrap with a fixed seed per asset, horizon and reference date, so the output is reproducible). Percentiles of the cumulative return across paths form the 50%, 80% and 95% bands. The historical replay refits the same method on rolling 120-day windows of the past year and counts how often the realised close landed inside the 80% band. No drift, volatility clustering or external signals are modelled.

Risks and limitations

The sample is one year of this asset’s history. Events outside it, such as a delisting, an exploit or a regime change, are not represented.
Daily returns are drawn independently, so volatility clustering and trends are understated. Real drawdowns can run deeper and longer than the bands.
The bands describe the model’s outcomes. They are not a probability that the price reaches any level, and nothing here is a recommendation.

Probabilistic scenario analysis from public Binance daily closes, recomputed daily. Not a guarantee or investment recommendation.

Computing Ethereum’s price paths…

MARKET SIGNAL

Why Ethereum reads bullish

Historical position supports the reading: 93% of the log range from the all-time low to the high. The evidence below produces a bullish reading of current conditions, not a price forecast.

Bullish64 / 100100% data coverage i

Score drivers i

Momentum55% weight+7.3 pts
Historical position20% weight+8.7 pts
Milestone recency15% weight0 pts
Volume confirmation10% weight-2.1 pts

Historical position i

ATL$0.433Now$2,639.25ATH$4,946.05

93% of the way from the all-time low to the high, on a log scale.

Momentum evidence i

24h: -3.50%
7d: +9.13%
30d: +7.50%
200d: +36.27%
1y: -36.17%

Market context · not scored

Volume (24h): $17.04B
Turnover: 5.29%
Overall rank: #2
Circulating supply: 122.08M

How this score is calculated Model v1.0

The score starts at a neutral 50 and adds four bounded drivers. Momentum (55%) blends the 24h, 7d, 30d, 200d and 1y moves; each passes through a saturating curve (tanh of the move over a per-window scale of 5, 12, 25, 50 and 80 points) and is weighted 10, 20, 40, 20 and 10 percent. Historical position (20%) maps the log-scale position between the all-time low and high onto −10 to +10 points. Milestone recency (15%) adds up to 7.5 points for an all-time high inside the past 30, 90 or 365 days and subtracts the same for a recent low. Volume confirmation (10%) adds up to 5 points in the direction of the day’s move once 24h turnover exceeds 2% of market value, saturating at 10%.

Readings of 60 or more are labelled bullish, 40 or less bearish. Missing inputs contribute zero and lower the reported data coverage instead of being guessed.

TODAY’S TRADING

Ethereum market analysis

Price movement i

24h low$2,642.70Now$2,639.2524h high$2,738.35

0% of the way from the day's low to its high · 3.62% range width

1h: -1.06%
24h: -3.50%
7d: +9.13%
30d: +7.50%
200d: +36.27%
1y: -36.17%

Trading activity is typical i

Turnover: 5.29%24h volume ÷ market cap. Above 8% reads as active, below 2% as quiet.
24h range: 3.62%High minus low as a share of the current price.
Range position: 0%0% is the day's low, 100% the high.
Rank in Layer 1: 82 of 180By 24-hour price change among tracked peers.

Volume is reported activity, not order-book liquidity. These figures describe observations, not a recommendation.

What if the price moves?

Starting price$2,639.25

Scenario price$2,903.18

Price change +10%

Change per ETH: $263.93. A calculation, not a prediction.

WHERE IT TRADES

Ethereum markets

Exchange pairs reported by CoinGecko. Venues that are unrated, stale, anomalous or wide-spread stay hidden until you ask for them.

The provider did not return trading pairs for Ethereum. No venue list is shown rather than a stale one.

Provider response: Provider cooling down; retry in 52s

FOLLOW THE STORY

Ethereum news & coverage

Reporting that mentions Ethereum, with the original publisher identified.

09:16Bitcoin and Ethereum Face New Regulatory Clock After EU Flags Post-Quantum Migration RiskCoinGape · Source article 08:53

XRP Slumps Hard After Another $1.60 Rejection, BTC Slips Below $84K: Market WatchCryptoPotato · Source article 08:49

Ethereum Price Prediction: BlackRock Says AI Stablecoin Payments Could Drive ETH DemandCryptonews · Source article 05:38

XRP Is Flashing 3 Bullish Signals Heading Into a Historically Weak OctoberBeInCrypto · Source article 04:59

BlackRock ETF clients purchase $51M in EthereumCrypto Briefing · Source article 04:30

Galaxy adds $100M Sky token and institutional adoption is testedCryptoSlate · Source article 23:40

Bitcoin slips below $85,000 as 5% Treasury yield returns to haunt risk assetsCryptoSlate · Source article 23:31

Cloudflare Exec Says Ethereum’s Original Sharding Plan Could Work for Stablecoin PaymentsUnchained · Source article 22:15

Report: CFTC Eyes Unusual $5B Trading Pattern on Kalshi ETH PerpetualsCryptoPotato · Source article 20:50

BlackRock sees a new $5 trillion AI trade emerging for stablecoinsCryptoSlate · Source article 16:30Clarity is a calendar, not a sloganDextape · Analysis 14:00How to read a crypto market day without the ticker reading youDextape · Analysis 15:00A token page is not a company fileDextape · Analysis 12:00Self-custody: a practical wallet safety checklistDextape · Guide 11:00How Dextape reviews a hardware walletDextape · Review

THE BASICS

About Ethereum

No profile description is available for Ethereum.

Ethereum price today

Ethereum price	$2,639.25
24h change	-3.50%
24h low / high	$2,642.70 / $2,738.35
Market cap	$322.15B
Market cap rank	#2
24h volume	$17.04B
Circulating supply	122.08M ETH
Total supply	122.08M ETH
Maximum supply	No hard cap
Fully diluted value	$322.15B
All-time high	$4,946.05 · August 24, 2025
All-time low	$0.433 · October 19, 2015

What determines Ethereum's market capitalisation?

Market cap is the latest price ($2,639.25) multiplied by the circulating supply (122.08M ETH). It measures the value of units in circulation, not money invested.

Why can ETH prices differ between exchanges?

Each venue has its own order book, fees and liquidity. Prices converge through arbitrage but can differ by the spread, especially on smaller venues. The markets section lists reliable venues first.

How fresh is this data?

Prices come from CoinGecko and refresh about every minute; each figure shows its source and when it was read. If the provider is unavailable, the page says so rather than showing a stale or invented number.

How to read this market file

Prices, capitalization and volume come from the displayed CoinGecko snapshot. Market capitalization and exchange volume describe different measures; neither is available liquidity for an order. Missing measurements remain blank. The chart opens the exact asset ID: ethereum.

Data sources and editorial standards →

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