- Market cap
- $6.71B
- Layer 1 share
- 0.3%
- Volume (24h)
- $109.69M1.6% of cap
- Circulating supply
- 37.58Bof 45B max
- Fully diluted value
- $8.03B
PRICE HISTORY
Cardano price chart
MODEL SCENARIOS
Cardano price prediction
How far Cardano could move over the coming weeks and months, read from its own past year of daily moves, with the evidence behind each range. Recomputed daily.
- Actual
- Median
- 50%
- 80%
- 95%
$0.1368 median -23.3% · 80% band $0.0856–$0.2176
Actual daily closes from Nov 9, 2025 to the $0.1784 reference close on Nov 8, 2026. The median and the 50%, 80% and 95% bands extend to Feb 6, 2027.
How this prediction is built
Dextape resamples Cardano’s own daily price changes to estimate a range of possible future prices. The model replays the observed daily returns in random order along 1,200 paths, then reads the spread of outcomes at each day of the horizon. It shows how wide outcomes have been, not where the price will go, and it is not investment advice.
- 01Return sample365 days
365 observed daily log returns from the trailing year, used as drawn.
- 02Bootstrap paths1,200 paths
Seeded resampling, so the same inputs always give the same bands.
- 03Historical replay63% inside
8 past windows re-run with the same method; a calibrated 80% band holds about 80% of realised closes.
Model sensitivities
| Horizon | Median | 80% band width | Replay coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | $0.1728 | ±12.6% | 75% of 80 |
| 30D | $0.1599 | ±23.4% | 74% of 31 |
| 90D | $0.1368 | ±37.0% | 63% of 8 |
| 1Y | $0.0559 | ±35.5% | — |
Band width grows roughly with the square root of the horizon, as expected for independent daily draws.
Technical details
Log returns from the trailing 365 daily closes are drawn with replacement (a stationary bootstrap with a fixed seed per asset, horizon and reference date, so the output is reproducible). Percentiles of the cumulative return across paths form the 50%, 80% and 95% bands. The historical replay refits the same method on rolling 120-day windows of the past year and counts how often the realised close landed inside the 80% band. No drift, volatility clustering or external signals are modelled.
Risks and limitations
- The sample is one year of this asset’s history. Events outside it, such as a delisting, an exploit or a regime change, are not represented.
- Daily returns are drawn independently, so volatility clustering and trends are understated. Real drawdowns can run deeper and longer than the bands.
- The bands describe the model’s outcomes. They are not a probability that the price reaches any level, and nothing here is a recommendation.
Probabilistic scenario analysis from public Binance daily closes, recomputed daily. Not a guarantee or investment recommendation.
MARKET SIGNAL
Why Cardano reads bearish
Momentum supports the reading: 5 of 5 windows, 30-day move weighted highest. The evidence below produces a bearish reading of current conditions, not a price forecast.
Score drivers i
- Momentum55% weight-17.1 pts
- Historical position20% weight-1.2 pts
- Milestone recency15% weight0 pts
- Volume confirmation10% weight0 pts
Historical position i
44% of the way from the all-time low to the high, on a log scale.
Momentum evidence i
- 24h
- -1.90%
- 7d
- -7.15%
- 30d
- -24.49% Highest weight
- 200d
- -29.79%
- 1y
- -67.87%
Market context · not scored
- Volume (24h)
- $109.69M
- Turnover
- 1.63%
- Overall rank
- #18
- Circulating supply
- 37.58B
How this score is calculated Model v1.0
The score starts at a neutral 50 and adds four bounded drivers. Momentum (55%) blends the 24h, 7d, 30d, 200d and 1y moves; each passes through a saturating curve (tanh of the move over a per-window scale of 5, 12, 25, 50 and 80 points) and is weighted 10, 20, 40, 20 and 10 percent. Historical position (20%) maps the log-scale position between the all-time low and high onto −10 to +10 points. Milestone recency (15%) adds up to 7.5 points for an all-time high inside the past 30, 90 or 365 days and subtracts the same for a recent low. Volume confirmation (10%) adds up to 5 points in the direction of the day’s move once 24h turnover exceeds 2% of market value, saturating at 10%.
Readings of 60 or more are labelled bullish, 40 or less bearish. Missing inputs contribute zero and lower the reported data coverage instead of being guessed.
TODAY’S TRADING
Cardano market analysis
Price movement i
0% of the way from the day's low to its high · 1.86% range width
- 1h
- -0.84%
- 24h
- -1.90%
- 7d
- -7.15%
- 30d
- -24.49%
- 200d
- -29.79%
- 1y
- -67.87%
Trading activity is quiet i
- Turnover
- 1.63%24h volume ÷ market cap. Above 8% reads as active, below 2% as quiet.
- 24h range
- 1.86%High minus low as a share of the current price.
- Range position
- 0%0% is the day's low, 100% the high.
- Rank in Layer 1
- 84 of 180By 24-hour price change among tracked peers.
Volume is reported activity, not order-book liquidity. These figures describe observations, not a recommendation.
What if the price moves?
Change per ADA: $0.0179. A calculation, not a prediction.
WHERE IT TRADES
Cardano markets
Exchange pairs reported by CoinGecko. Venues that are unrated, stale, anomalous or wide-spread stay hidden until you ask for them.
| Exchange | Pair | Price | 24h volume | Spread | Trust |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binance | ADA/USDT | $0.18 | $5.01M | 0.06% | Established |
| Coinbase Exchange | ADA/USD | $0.1802 | $2.97M | 0.03% | Established |
| Bitvavo | ADA/EUR | $0.1806 | $2.67M | 0.03% | Established |
| OKX | ADA/USDT | $0.1801 | $1.66M | 0.06% | Established |
| Upbit | ADA/KRW | $0.1798 | $1.49M | 0.41% | Established |
| Kraken | ADA/USD | $0.1802 | $1.44M | 0.01% | Established |
| Gate | ADA/USDT | $0.1801 | $1.24M | 0.03% | Established |
| Binance | ADA/USDC | $0.1797 | $1.11M | 0.06% | Established |
| Bybit | ADA/USDT | $0.18 | $1.07M | 0.06% | Established |
| KuCoin | ADA/USDT | $0.18 | $927.79K | 0.06% | Established |
| Bitget | ADA/USDT | $0.18 | $854.38K | 0.06% | Established |
| Crypto.com Exchange | ADA/USD | $0.1803 | $721.09K | 0.02% | Established |
| Bitstamp by Robinhood | ADA/USD | $0.1802 | $655.09K | 0.03% | Established |
| Kraken | ADA/EUR | $0.1803 | $454.06K | 0.11% | Established |
| Bithumb | ADA/KRW | $0.1806 | $389.05K | 0.41% | Established |
| Crypto.com Exchange | ADA/USDT | $0.1801 | $355.27K | 0.03% | Established |
| KuCoin | ADA/USDC | $0.1799 | $257.33K | 0.11% | Established |
| Binance | ADA/TRY | $0.1803 | $177.54K | 0.11% | Established |
| Binance | ADA/JPY | $0.1805 | $176.85K | 0.07% | Established |
| Coinbase Exchange | ADA/EUR | $0.1803 | $137.77K | 0.06% | Established |
FOLLOW THE STORY
Cardano news & coverage
Reporting that mentions Cardano, with the original publisher identified.
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Cardano dips below $0.19 as bearish derivatives data signals further lossesTHE BASICS
About Cardano
Cardano is a blockchain platform built on academic research that enables smart contracts and decentralized applications while using significantly less energy than traditional cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. What sets Cardano apart is its methodical, research-driven approach — every major feature is peer-reviewed by scientists and cryptographers before being added to the network. This careful process aims to create a more secure and stable foundation compared to platforms that prioritize speed over thorough testing.
The platform's native cryptocurrency, ADA, is used to send money, pay transaction fees, and participate in network governance. Cardano uses a proof-of-stake system to process transactions, which works differently from Bitcoin's mining approach. Instead of competing to solve complex puzzles, users can "stake" their ADA — essentially locking it up temporarily — to become validators who verify transactions. The system selects validators based on how much ADA they've staked and for how long, then rewards them with additional ADA for their participation.
This approach uses far less energy than traditional mining while keeping the network secure. The platform also features a two-layer design that separates basic payment transactions from smart contract operations, allowing each function to be optimized independently for better performance. ADA holders can earn staking rewards by locking up their tokens to help secure the network, vote on proposed changes to the platform, and use ADA for international money transfers with lower fees than traditional services.
Cardano was founded in 2017 by Charles Hoskinson, who previously helped create Ethereum. Hoskinson leads Input Output Global (IOG), the technology company that builds and maintains Cardano's core software. The ecosystem operates through three organizations: IOG handles technical development, the Cardano Foundation promotes adoption and standardization, and Emurgo helps businesses integrate blockchain technology into their operations.
Cardano price today
Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.1785, down 1.90% in the last 24 hours. It ranks #18 by market cap, at $6.71B, with $109.69M traded in 24 hours. Read from CoinGecko at 17:28 UTC on November 8, 2026.
| Cardano price | $0.1785 |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -1.90% |
| 24h low / high | $0.1789 / $0.1823 |
| Market cap | $6.71B |
| Market cap rank | #18 |
| 24h volume | $109.69M |
| Circulating supply | 37.58B ADA |
| Total supply | 45B ADA |
| Maximum supply | 45B ADA |
| Fully diluted value | $8.03B |
| All-time high | $3.09 · September 1, 2021 |
| All-time low | $0.0193 · March 12, 2020 |
Cardano questions
What is the price of Cardano today?
Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.1785, down 1.90% in the last 24 hours, read from CoinGecko at 17:28 UTC on November 8, 2026. In the last 24 hours it traded between $0.1789 and $0.1823.
What is Cardano's market cap?
$6.71B, which ranks Cardano #18 by market capitalisation. Market cap is the price ($0.1785) multiplied by the circulating supply (37.58B ADA). It measures the value of units in circulation, not money invested.
How many Cardano are there?
37.58B ADA are in circulation, of a total supply of 45B. The maximum supply is 45B ADA, so 83.5% of it is already in circulation.
What is Cardano's all-time high?
$3.09, reached on September 1, 2021. At $0.1785, Cardano trades 94.2% below that high.
How much Cardano was traded in the last 24 hours?
$109.69M, equal to 1.6% of its market cap, across the exchanges CoinGecko tracks. Reported volume varies by venue and can be inflated; it is not the same as liquidity.
Why can ADA prices differ between exchanges?
Each venue has its own order book, fees and liquidity. Prices converge through arbitrage but can differ by the spread, especially on smaller venues. The markets section lists reliable venues first.
How fresh is this data?
Prices come from CoinGecko and refresh about every minute; each figure shows its source and when it was read. If the provider is unavailable, the page says so rather than showing a stale or invented number.
MARKET CONTEXT
More in Layer 1
Other Layer 1 assets by market value, from the same CoinGecko snapshot.
COMPARE
Compare Cardano
Side by side with the largest assets: size, returns, supply and distance from all-time high.
How to read this market file
Prices, capitalization and volume come from the displayed CoinGecko snapshot. Market capitalization and exchange volume describe different measures; neither is available liquidity for an order. Missing measurements remain blank. The chart opens the exact asset ID: cardano.
Data sources and editorial standards →