SOL market file Rank #7

Solana

$113.19-3.49% 24h

Solana is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain designed for mass adoption by providing a fast, secure, and low-cost environment for decentralized applications.

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Market signalBullish64 / 10030D +13.57% · 61.4% below ATH

Market cap: $66.51B
Rank: #7
Volume (24h): $4.8B7.2% of cap
Circulating supply: 587.58MSOL
Fully diluted value: $71.83B

PRICE HISTORY

Solana price chart

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MODEL SCENARIOS

Solana price prediction

How far Solana could move over the coming weeks and months, read from its own past year of daily moves, with the evidence behind each range. Recomputed daily.

Horizon

Reference close$113.22

Median outcome$96.27 -15.0%

Target dateDec 23, 2026

SOL 90-day range

Actual
Median
50%
80%
95%

Explore the horizon · Day 90 · Dec 23, 2026

$96.27 median -15.0% · 80% band $62.62–$148.45

Actual daily closes from Sep 25, 2025 to the $113.22 reference close on Sep 24, 2026. The median and the 50%, 80% and 95% bands extend to Dec 23, 2026.

How this prediction is built

Dextape resamples Solana’s own daily price changes to estimate a range of possible future prices. The model replays the observed daily returns in random order along 1,200 paths, then reads the spread of outcomes at each day of the horizon. It shows how wide outcomes have been, not where the price will go, and it is not investment advice.

01
Return sample
365 observed daily log returns from the trailing year, used as drawn.
365 days
02
Bootstrap paths
Seeded resampling, so the same inputs always give the same bands.
1,200 paths
03
Historical replay
8 past windows re-run with the same method; a calibrated 80% band holds about 80% of realised closes.
63% inside

Model sensitivities

Horizon	Median	80% band width	Replay coverage
7D	$111.96	±12.3%	76% of 80
30D	$107.41	±23.5%	74% of 31
90D	$96.27	±37.9%	63% of 8
1Y	$59.41	±51.7%	—

Band width grows roughly with the square root of the horizon, as expected for independent daily draws.

Technical details

Log returns from the trailing 365 daily closes are drawn with replacement (a stationary bootstrap with a fixed seed per asset, horizon and reference date, so the output is reproducible). Percentiles of the cumulative return across paths form the 50%, 80% and 95% bands. The historical replay refits the same method on rolling 120-day windows of the past year and counts how often the realised close landed inside the 80% band. No drift, volatility clustering or external signals are modelled.

Risks and limitations

The sample is one year of this asset’s history. Events outside it, such as a delisting, an exploit or a regime change, are not represented.
Daily returns are drawn independently, so volatility clustering and trends are understated. Real drawdowns can run deeper and longer than the bands.
The bands describe the model’s outcomes. They are not a probability that the price reaches any level, and nothing here is a recommendation.

Probabilistic scenario analysis from public Binance daily closes, recomputed daily. Not a guarantee or investment recommendation.

Computing Solana’s price paths…

MARKET SIGNAL

Why Solana reads bullish

Momentum supports the reading: 5 of 5 windows, 30-day move weighted highest. The evidence below produces a bullish reading of current conditions, not a price forecast.

Bullish64 / 100100% data coverage i

Score drivers i

Momentum55% weight+10.3 pts
Historical position20% weight+7 pts
Milestone recency15% weight0 pts
Volume confirmation10% weight-3.3 pts

Historical position i

ATL$0.5008Now$113.19ATH$293.31

85% of the way from the all-time low to the high, on a log scale.

Momentum evidence i

24h: -3.49%
7d: +13.97%
30d: +13.57%
200d: +36.94%
1y: -45.92%

Market context · not scored

Volume (24h): $4.8B
Turnover: 7.22%
Rank: #7
Circulating supply: 587.58M

How this score is calculated Model v1.0

The score starts at a neutral 50 and adds four bounded drivers. Momentum (55%) blends the 24h, 7d, 30d, 200d and 1y moves; each passes through a saturating curve (tanh of the move over a per-window scale of 5, 12, 25, 50 and 80 points) and is weighted 10, 20, 40, 20 and 10 percent. Historical position (20%) maps the log-scale position between the all-time low and high onto −10 to +10 points. Milestone recency (15%) adds up to 7.5 points for an all-time high inside the past 30, 90 or 365 days and subtracts the same for a recent low. Volume confirmation (10%) adds up to 5 points in the direction of the day’s move once 24h turnover exceeds 2% of market value, saturating at 10%.

Readings of 60 or more are labelled bullish, 40 or less bearish. Missing inputs contribute zero and lower the reported data coverage instead of being guessed.

TODAY’S TRADING

Solana market analysis

Price movement i

24h low$113.31Now$113.1924h high$117.64

0% of the way from the day's low to its high · 3.83% range width

1h: -1.35%
24h: -3.49%
7d: +13.97%
30d: +13.57%
200d: +36.94%
1y: -45.92%

Trading activity is typical i

Turnover: 7.22%24h volume ÷ market cap. Above 8% reads as active, below 2% as quiet.
24h range: 3.83%High minus low as a share of the current price.
Range position: 0%0% is the day's low, 100% the high.

Volume is reported activity, not order-book liquidity. These figures describe observations, not a recommendation.

What if the price moves?

Starting price$113.19

Scenario price$124.51

Price change +10%

Change per SOL: $11.32. A calculation, not a prediction.

WHERE IT TRADES

Solana markets

Exchange pairs reported by CoinGecko. Venues that are unrated, stale, anomalous or wide-spread stay hidden until you ask for them.

The provider did not return trading pairs for Solana. No venue list is shown rather than a stale one.

Provider response: Provider cooling down; retry in 60s

FOLLOW THE STORY

Solana news & coverage

Reporting that mentions Solana, with the original publisher identified.

08:53

XRP Slumps Hard After Another $1.60 Rejection, BTC Slips Below $84K: Market WatchCryptoPotato · Source article 08:49

Ethereum Price Prediction: BlackRock Says AI Stablecoin Payments Could Drive ETH DemandCryptonews · Source article 07:00

Bitcoin Price Prediction: StarkWare Discounts Quantum-Safe Solution by 79%Cryptonews · Source article 06:30

Ondo Pushes USDY Deeper Into Solana DeFiNewsBTC · Source article 23:31

Cloudflare Exec Says Ethereum’s Original Sharding Plan Could Work for Stablecoin PaymentsUnchained · Source article 16:10

MoonPay Agrees to Buy North Capital and Its SEC-Registered Securities BrokerageUnchained · Source article 15:21Solana Hits Highest-Ever RWA Value at $4.6 BillionU.Today · Source article 15:00

OpenAI ChatGPT AI Predicts XRP to Hit $8 by 2027, in the Right ConditionsCryptonews · Source article 14:06

Stocks Go Onchain: What the SEC's Innovation Exemption Means for SolanaSolana News · Source article 13:28

Anthropic’s Claude AI Predicts a Wild 2026 Price Target for LINKCryptonews · Source article 14:00How to read a crypto market day without the ticker reading youDextape · Analysis

THE BASICS

About Solana

Solana is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain designed for mass adoption by providing a fast, secure, and low-cost environment for decentralized applications. It distinguishes itself by scaling globally without the use of complex sharding or multiple layers, instead maintaining a single, unified ledger to avoid liquidity fragmentation. This architecture allows it to process thousands of transactions per second with sub-second finality, often at a cost of less than a penny per transaction.

The network operates on a unique hybrid model that combines Proof of Stake with an innovation called Proof of History, which functions as a decentralized clock to timestamp transactions. This system reduces the need for constant node communication, allowing the Sealevel engine to run non-conflicting smart contracts in parallel across multiple CPU cores. Further efficiency is gained through the Gulf Stream protocol, which reduces confirmation times by forwarding transactions to validators before the current block is finished.

Founded in 2017 by Anatoly Yakovenko, Solana is now supported by the Switzerland-based Solana Foundation and significant institutional investors like Andreessen Horowitz and Polychain Capital. The platform’s native token, SOL, serves as the primary currency for paying transaction fees, participating in network governance, and securing the system through staking. Solana has also seen significant institutional adoption ranging from spot Solana ETFs to major partnerships including Visa's 2025 launch of USDC settlement on the network and the tokenization of public equity by firms like Galaxy Digital.

Solana price today

Solana price	$113.19
24h change	-3.49%
24h low / high	$113.31 / $117.64
Market cap	$66.51B
Market cap rank	#7
24h volume	$4.8B
Circulating supply	587.58M SOL
Total supply	634.61M SOL
Maximum supply	No hard cap
Fully diluted value	$71.83B
All-time high	$293.31 · January 19, 2025
All-time low	$0.5008 · May 11, 2020

What determines Solana's market capitalisation?

Market cap is the latest price ($113.19) multiplied by the circulating supply (587.58M SOL). It measures the value of units in circulation, not money invested.

Why can SOL prices differ between exchanges?

Each venue has its own order book, fees and liquidity. Prices converge through arbitrage but can differ by the spread, especially on smaller venues. The markets section lists reliable venues first.

How fresh is this data?

Prices come from CoinGecko and refresh about every minute; each figure shows its source and when it was read. If the provider is unavailable, the page says so rather than showing a stale or invented number.

How to read this market file

Prices, capitalization and volume come from the displayed CoinGecko snapshot. Market capitalization and exchange volume describe different measures; neither is available liquidity for an order. Missing measurements remain blank. The chart opens the exact asset ID: solana.

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