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ALICE market file Rank #1120

My Neighbor Alice

$0.1193-7.42% 24h

My Neighbor Alice is a fully on-chain multiplayer game built on Chromia with a strong focus on self-expression, collaboration and communities.

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Updated 5m ago

Market cap
$11.93M
Rank
#1120
Volume (24h)
$17.44M146.3% of cap
Circulating supply
99.95Mof 100M max
Fully diluted value
$11.93M

PRICE HISTORY

My Neighbor Alice price chart

Loading My Neighbor Alice price history…

MODEL SCENARIOS

My Neighbor Alice price prediction

How far My Neighbor Alice could move over the coming weeks and months, read from its own past year of daily moves, with the evidence behind each range. Recomputed daily.

Horizon
Reference close$0.1194
Median outcome$0.1014 -15.1%
Target dateFeb 4, 2027
ALICE 90-day range
  • Actual
  • Median
  • 50%
  • 80%
  • 95%

$0.1014 median -15.1% · 80% band $0.045–$0.2197

Actual daily closes from Nov 7, 2025 to the $0.1194 reference close on Nov 6, 2026. The median and the 50%, 80% and 95% bands extend to Feb 4, 2027.

How this prediction is built

Dextape resamples My Neighbor Alice’s own daily price changes to estimate a range of possible future prices. The model replays the observed daily returns in random order along 1,200 paths, then reads the spread of outcomes at each day of the horizon. It shows how wide outcomes have been, not where the price will go, and it is not investment advice.

  1. 01
    Return sample

    364 observed daily log returns from the trailing year, used as drawn.

    364 days
  2. 02
    Bootstrap paths

    Seeded resampling, so the same inputs always give the same bands.

    1,200 paths
  3. 03
    Historical replay

    8 past windows re-run with the same method; a calibrated 80% band holds about 80% of realised closes.

    100% inside
Model sensitivities
HorizonMedian80% band widthReplay coverage
7D$0.1172±21.1%91% of 80
30D$0.1109±48.5%97% of 31
90D$0.1014±73.2%100% of 8
1Y$0.0581±119.5%—

Band width grows roughly with the square root of the horizon, as expected for independent daily draws.

Technical details

Log returns from the trailing 364 daily closes are drawn with replacement (a stationary bootstrap with a fixed seed per asset, horizon and reference date, so the output is reproducible). Percentiles of the cumulative return across paths form the 50%, 80% and 95% bands. The historical replay refits the same method on rolling 120-day windows of the past year and counts how often the realised close landed inside the 80% band. No drift, volatility clustering or external signals are modelled.

Risks and limitations
  • The sample is one year of this asset’s history. Events outside it, such as a delisting, an exploit or a regime change, are not represented.
  • Daily returns are drawn independently, so volatility clustering and trends are understated. Real drawdowns can run deeper and longer than the bands.
  • The bands describe the model’s outcomes. They are not a probability that the price reaches any level, and nothing here is a recommendation.

Probabilistic scenario analysis from public CoinGecko daily closes, recomputed daily. Not a guarantee or investment recommendation.

MARKET SIGNAL

Why My Neighbor Alice reads bearish

Momentum supports the reading: 5 of 5 windows, 30-day move weighted highest. The evidence below produces a bearish reading of current conditions, not a price forecast.

Bearish15 / 100100% data coverage i

Score drivers i

  1. Momentum55% weight-18.3 pts
  2. Historical position20% weight-9.2 pts
  3. Milestone recency15% weight-2.5 pts
  4. Volume confirmation10% weight-5 pts

Historical position i

ATL$0.0935Now$0.1193ATH$40.93

4% of the way from the all-time low to the high, on a log scale.

Momentum evidence i

24h
-7.42%
7d
-4.50%
30d
-37.01%
Highest weight
200d
-23.14%
1y
-51.71%

Market context · not scored

Volume (24h)
$17.44M
Turnover
146.27%
Rank
#1120
Circulating supply
99.95M
How this score is calculated Model v1.0

The score starts at a neutral 50 and adds four bounded drivers. Momentum (55%) blends the 24h, 7d, 30d, 200d and 1y moves; each passes through a saturating curve (tanh of the move over a per-window scale of 5, 12, 25, 50 and 80 points) and is weighted 10, 20, 40, 20 and 10 percent. Historical position (20%) maps the log-scale position between the all-time low and high onto −10 to +10 points. Milestone recency (15%) adds up to 7.5 points for an all-time high inside the past 30, 90 or 365 days and subtracts the same for a recent low. Volume confirmation (10%) adds up to 5 points in the direction of the day’s move once 24h turnover exceeds 2% of market value, saturating at 10%.

Readings of 60 or more are labelled bullish, 40 or less bearish. Missing inputs contribute zero and lower the reported data coverage instead of being guessed.

TODAY’S TRADING

My Neighbor Alice market analysis

Price movement i

24h low$0.1156Now$0.119324h high$0.129

28% of the way from the day's low to its high · 11.28% range width

1h
+0.18%
24h
-7.42%
7d
-4.50%
30d
-37.01%
200d
-23.14%
1y
-51.71%

Trading activity is active i

Turnover
146.27%24h volume ÷ market cap. Above 8% reads as active, below 2% as quiet.
24h range
11.28%High minus low as a share of the current price.
Range position
28%0% is the day's low, 100% the high.

Volume is reported activity, not order-book liquidity. These figures describe observations, not a recommendation.

What if the price moves?

Starting price$0.1193
Scenario price$0.1313

Change per ALICE: $0.0119. A calculation, not a prediction.

WHERE IT TRADES

My Neighbor Alice markets

Exchange pairs reported by CoinGecko. Venues that are unrated, stale, anomalous or wide-spread stay hidden until you ask for them.

9 reliable pairs shown · 49 hidden (not established or low trust, stale, anomalous, or spread above 2%)

ExchangePairPrice24h volumeSpreadTrust
Binance ALICE/USDT$0.1199$417.89K0.17%Established
Binance ALICE/TRY$0.1192$146.47K0.50%Established
Bithumb ALICE/KRW$0.1187$106.76K1.23%Established
Coinbase Exchange ALICE/USD$0.12$36.65K0.15%Established
Gate ALICE/USDT$0.1195$32.9K0.17%Established
Bitget ALICE/USDT$0.12$15.29K0.17%Established
KuCoin ALICE/USDT$0.1198$10.35K1.17%Established
Bitvavo ALICE/EUR$0.1199$5.73K0.20%Established
Crypto.com Exchange ALICE/USD$0.1196$1.44K1.33%Established

Updated just now

FOLLOW THE STORY

Market headlines

Nothing on the wire mentions My Neighbor Alice right now. These are the newest general market stories; they are not about My Neighbor Alice.

THE BASICS

About My Neighbor Alice

My Neighbor Alice is a fully on-chain multiplayer game built on Chromia with a strong focus on self-expression, collaboration and communities. Players can explore, gather resources, craft unique NFTs, and shape their own virtual world in the Lummelunda Archipelago. The game appeals to all ages and genders, promotes cooperation over competition. With open codebase and UGC tools, it fosters creativity, allowing players to create and potentially earn from their own assets and experiences.

My Neighbor Alice price today

My Neighbor Alice price$0.1193
24h change-7.42%
24h low / high$0.1156 / $0.129
Market cap$11.93M
Market cap rank#1120
24h volume$17.44M
Circulating supply99.95M ALICE
Total supply99.95M ALICE
Maximum supply100M ALICE
Fully diluted value$11.93M
All-time high$40.93 · March 15, 2021
All-time low$0.0935 · June 6, 2026
Circulating 99.9% of maximum supply
What determines My Neighbor Alice's market capitalisation?

Market cap is the latest price ($0.1193) multiplied by the circulating supply (99.95M ALICE). It measures the value of units in circulation, not money invested.

Why can ALICE prices differ between exchanges?

Each venue has its own order book, fees and liquidity. Prices converge through arbitrage but can differ by the spread, especially on smaller venues. The markets section lists reliable venues first.

How fresh is this data?

Prices come from CoinGecko and refresh about every minute; each figure shows its source and when it was read. If the provider is unavailable, the page says so rather than showing a stale or invented number.

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How to read this market file

Prices, capitalization and volume come from the displayed CoinGecko snapshot. Market capitalization and exchange volume describe different measures; neither is available liquidity for an order. Missing measurements remain blank. The chart opens the exact asset ID: my-neighbor-alice.

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