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USDG market file Rank #34 Stablecoins

Global Dollar

$1.00-0.01% 24h

Global Dollar (USDG) is a single-currency stablecoin pegged to the US dollar.

Open USDG chart Set alert

Updated 3m ago

Market cap
$2.81B
Stablecoins share
1.0%
Volume (24h)
$806.92M28.7% of cap
Circulating supply
2.81BUSDG
Fully diluted value
$2.81B

PRICE HISTORY

Global Dollar price chart

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MODEL SCENARIOS

Global Dollar price prediction

How far Global Dollar could move over the coming weeks and months, read from its own past year of daily moves, with the evidence behind each range. Recomputed daily.

Horizon
Reference close$1.00
Median outcome$0.9997 -0.1%
Target dateFeb 3, 2027
USDG 90-day range
  • Actual
  • Median
  • 50%
  • 80%
  • 95%

$0.9997 median -0.1% · 80% band $0.9661–$1.03

Actual daily closes from Nov 6, 2025 to the $1.00 reference close on Nov 5, 2026. The median and the 50%, 80% and 95% bands extend to Feb 3, 2027.

How this prediction is built

Dextape resamples Global Dollar’s own daily price changes to estimate a range of possible future prices. The model replays the observed daily returns in random order along 1,200 paths, then reads the spread of outcomes at each day of the horizon. It shows how wide outcomes have been, not where the price will go, and it is not investment advice.

  1. 01
    Return sample

    364 observed daily log returns from the trailing year, used as drawn.

    364 days
  2. 02
    Bootstrap paths

    Seeded resampling, so the same inputs always give the same bands.

    1,200 paths
  3. 03
    Historical replay

    8 past windows re-run with the same method; a calibrated 80% band holds about 80% of realised closes.

    100% inside
Model sensitivities
HorizonMedian80% band widthReplay coverage
7D$1.00±0.1%94% of 80
30D$1.00±0.8%90% of 31
90D$0.9997±3.2%100% of 8
1Y$1.00±5.7%—

Band width grows roughly with the square root of the horizon, as expected for independent daily draws.

Technical details

Log returns from the trailing 364 daily closes are drawn with replacement (a stationary bootstrap with a fixed seed per asset, horizon and reference date, so the output is reproducible). Percentiles of the cumulative return across paths form the 50%, 80% and 95% bands. The historical replay refits the same method on rolling 120-day windows of the past year and counts how often the realised close landed inside the 80% band. No drift, volatility clustering or external signals are modelled.

Risks and limitations
  • The sample is one year of this asset’s history. Events outside it, such as a delisting, an exploit or a regime change, are not represented.
  • Daily returns are drawn independently, so volatility clustering and trends are understated. Real drawdowns can run deeper and longer than the bands.
  • The bands describe the model’s outcomes. They are not a probability that the price reaches any level, and nothing here is a recommendation.

Probabilistic scenario analysis from public CoinGecko daily closes, recomputed daily. Not a guarantee or investment recommendation.

MARKET SIGNAL

Why Global Dollar reads bearish

Historical position supports the reading: 16% of the log range from the all-time low to the high. The evidence below produces a bearish reading of current conditions, not a price forecast.

Bearish38 / 100100% data coverage i

Score drivers i

  1. Momentum55% weight0 pts
  2. Historical position20% weight-6.8 pts
  3. Milestone recency15% weight0 pts
  4. Volume confirmation10% weight-5 pts

Historical position i

ATL$0.9076Now$1.00ATH$1.65

16% of the way from the all-time low to the high, on a log scale.

Momentum evidence i

24h
-0.01%
7d
+0.05%
30d
+0.02%
Highest weight
200d
+0.04%
1y
+0.02%

Market context · not scored

Volume (24h)
$806.92M
Turnover
28.69%
Overall rank
#34
Circulating supply
2.81B
How this score is calculated Model v1.0

The score starts at a neutral 50 and adds four bounded drivers. Momentum (55%) blends the 24h, 7d, 30d, 200d and 1y moves; each passes through a saturating curve (tanh of the move over a per-window scale of 5, 12, 25, 50 and 80 points) and is weighted 10, 20, 40, 20 and 10 percent. Historical position (20%) maps the log-scale position between the all-time low and high onto −10 to +10 points. Milestone recency (15%) adds up to 7.5 points for an all-time high inside the past 30, 90 or 365 days and subtracts the same for a recent low. Volume confirmation (10%) adds up to 5 points in the direction of the day’s move once 24h turnover exceeds 2% of market value, saturating at 10%.

Readings of 60 or more are labelled bullish, 40 or less bearish. Missing inputs contribute zero and lower the reported data coverage instead of being guessed.

TODAY’S TRADING

Global Dollar market analysis

Price movement i

24h low$1.00Now$1.0024h high$1.00

Reported low to high · 0.00% range width

1h
-0.01%
24h
-0.01%
7d
+0.05%
30d
+0.02%
200d
+0.04%
1y
+0.02%

Trading activity is active i

Turnover
28.69%24h volume ÷ market cap. Above 8% reads as active, below 2% as quiet.
24h range
0.00%High minus low as a share of the current price.
Range position
—0% is the day's low, 100% the high.
Rank in Stablecoins
36 of 137By 24-hour price change among tracked peers.

Volume is reported activity, not order-book liquidity. These figures describe observations, not a recommendation.

What if the price moves?

Starting price$1.00
Scenario price$1.10

Change per USDG: $0.10. A calculation, not a prediction.

FOLLOW THE STORY

Global Dollar news & coverage

Reporting that mentions Global Dollar, with the original publisher identified.

THE BASICS

About Global Dollar

Global Dollar (USDG) is a single-currency stablecoin pegged to the US dollar. USDG is fully redeemable from Paxos on a one-to-one basis for US dollars. Global Dollar (USDG) is issued by Paxos Digital Singapore (PDS), which is a Major Payments Institution supervised by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. USDG is issued in the EU by Paxos Issuance Europe Oy (PIE), an Electronic Money Institution regulated by the Finnish Financial Supervisory Authority (FIN-FSA).

USDG is fully compliant with the EU’s Markets in Crypto Assets Regulation (MiCA). USDG combines the stability and reach of US dollars with the added security and efficiency of blockchain technology. USDG is always available and accessible, offering high transfer speeds and programmability. USDG is always available for 1:1 redemption for US dollars, 24/7. USDG's issuance will adhere to strict regulatory standards, including requirements for value stability, capital adequacy, redemption and par and comprehensive disclosure.

Specific regulatory obligations include substantial capital reserve requirements, frequent regulatory examinations, monthly independent attestations of reserve assets, monitoring of operating procedures and annual audits of reserve assets. It also provides protection from bankruptcy by holding stablecoin reserve assets in segregated accounts held on trust by PDS for the benefit of USDG holders. USDG represents the pinnacle of regulated stablecoins, offering unparalleled stability, security and compliance in the rapidly evolving world of digital finance.

Global Dollar price today

Global Dollar price$1.00
24h change-0.01%
24h low / high$1.00 / $1.00
Market cap$2.81B
Market cap rank#34
24h volume$806.92M
Circulating supply2.81B USDG
Total supply2.81B USDG
Maximum supplyNo hard cap
Fully diluted value$2.81B
All-time high$1.65 · January 29, 2025
All-time low$0.9076 · November 11, 2024
What determines Global Dollar's market capitalisation?

Market cap is the latest price ($1.00) multiplied by the circulating supply (2.81B USDG). It measures the value of units in circulation, not money invested.

Why can USDG prices differ between exchanges?

Each venue has its own order book, fees and liquidity. Prices converge through arbitrage but can differ by the spread, especially on smaller venues. The markets section lists reliable venues first.

How fresh is this data?

Prices come from CoinGecko and refresh about every minute; each figure shows its source and when it was read. If the provider is unavailable, the page says so rather than showing a stale or invented number.

COMPARE

Compare Global Dollar

Side by side with the largest assets: size, returns, supply and distance from all-time high.

How to read this market file

Prices, capitalization and volume come from the displayed CoinGecko snapshot. Market capitalization and exchange volume describe different measures; neither is available liquidity for an order. Missing measurements remain blank. The chart opens the exact asset ID: global-dollar.

Not shown right now: exchange markets (the data provider did not answer).

Data sources and editorial standards →