WLD market file Rank #66
Worldcoin
The mission of the Worldcoin project is to build the world’s largest identity and financial network as a public utility, giving ownership to everyone.
- Market cap
- $1.28B
- Rank
- #66
- Volume (24h)
- $259.13M20.3% of cap
- Circulating supply
- 3.74Bof 10B max
- Fully diluted value
- $3.42B
PRICE HISTORY
Worldcoin price chart
MODEL SCENARIOS
Worldcoin price prediction
How far Worldcoin could move over the coming weeks and months, read from its own past year of daily moves, with the evidence behind each range. Recomputed daily.
- Actual
- Median
- 50%
- 80%
- 95%
$0.2777 median -18.3% · 80% band $0.1306–$0.6165
Actual daily closes from Nov 6, 2025 to the $0.3401 reference close on Nov 5, 2026. The median and the 50%, 80% and 95% bands extend to Feb 3, 2027.
How this prediction is built
Dextape resamples Worldcoin’s own daily price changes to estimate a range of possible future prices. The model replays the observed daily returns in random order along 1,200 paths, then reads the spread of outcomes at each day of the horizon. It shows how wide outcomes have been, not where the price will go, and it is not investment advice.
- 01Return sample365 days
365 observed daily log returns from the trailing year, used as drawn.
- 02Bootstrap paths1,200 paths
Seeded resampling, so the same inputs always give the same bands.
- 03Historical replay63% inside
8 past windows re-run with the same method; a calibrated 80% band holds about 80% of realised closes.
Model sensitivities
| Horizon | Median | 80% band width | Replay coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | $0.334 | ±19.6% | 80% of 80 |
| 30D | $0.3177 | ±42.0% | 81% of 31 |
| 90D | $0.2777 | ±71.4% | 63% of 8 |
| 1Y | $0.1507 | ±99.2% | — |
Band width grows roughly with the square root of the horizon, as expected for independent daily draws.
Technical details
Log returns from the trailing 365 daily closes are drawn with replacement (a stationary bootstrap with a fixed seed per asset, horizon and reference date, so the output is reproducible). Percentiles of the cumulative return across paths form the 50%, 80% and 95% bands. The historical replay refits the same method on rolling 120-day windows of the past year and counts how often the realised close landed inside the 80% band. No drift, volatility clustering or external signals are modelled.
Risks and limitations
- The sample is one year of this asset’s history. Events outside it, such as a delisting, an exploit or a regime change, are not represented.
- Daily returns are drawn independently, so volatility clustering and trends are understated. Real drawdowns can run deeper and longer than the bands.
- The bands describe the model’s outcomes. They are not a probability that the price reaches any level, and nothing here is a recommendation.
Probabilistic scenario analysis from public Binance daily closes, recomputed daily. Not a guarantee or investment recommendation.
MARKET SIGNAL
Why Worldcoin reads bearish
Momentum supports the reading: 5 of 5 windows, 30-day move weighted highest. The evidence below produces a bearish reading of current conditions, not a price forecast.
Score drivers i
- Momentum55% weight-16.1 pts
- Historical position20% weight-8 pts
- Milestone recency15% weight-2.5 pts
- Volume confirmation10% weight-5 pts
Historical position i
10% of the way from the all-time low to the high, on a log scale.
Momentum evidence i
- 24h
- -9.12%
- 7d
- -17.80%
- 30d
- -37.71% Highest weight
- 200d
- +31.86%
- 1y
- -53.42%
Market context · not scored
- Volume (24h)
- $259.13M
- Turnover
- 20.27%
- Rank
- #66
- Circulating supply
- 3.74B
How this score is calculated Model v1.0
The score starts at a neutral 50 and adds four bounded drivers. Momentum (55%) blends the 24h, 7d, 30d, 200d and 1y moves; each passes through a saturating curve (tanh of the move over a per-window scale of 5, 12, 25, 50 and 80 points) and is weighted 10, 20, 40, 20 and 10 percent. Historical position (20%) maps the log-scale position between the all-time low and high onto −10 to +10 points. Milestone recency (15%) adds up to 7.5 points for an all-time high inside the past 30, 90 or 365 days and subtracts the same for a recent low. Volume confirmation (10%) adds up to 5 points in the direction of the day’s move once 24h turnover exceeds 2% of market value, saturating at 10%.
Readings of 60 or more are labelled bullish, 40 or less bearish. Missing inputs contribute zero and lower the reported data coverage instead of being guessed.
TODAY’S TRADING
Worldcoin market analysis
Price movement i
10% of the way from the day's low to its high · 13.73% range width
- 1h
- +0.23%
- 24h
- -9.12%
- 7d
- -17.80%
- 30d
- -37.71%
- 200d
- +31.86%
- 1y
- -53.42%
Trading activity is active i
- Turnover
- 20.27%24h volume ÷ market cap. Above 8% reads as active, below 2% as quiet.
- 24h range
- 13.73%High minus low as a share of the current price.
- Range position
- 10%0% is the day's low, 100% the high.
Volume is reported activity, not order-book liquidity. These figures describe observations, not a recommendation.
What if the price moves?
Change per WLD: $0.0342. A calculation, not a prediction.
FOLLOW THE STORY
Market headlines
Nothing on the wire mentions Worldcoin right now. These are the newest general market stories; they are not about Worldcoin.
Bitcoin’s $74.6m ETF rebound meets a tougher US regulatory outlook
Tech stocks are suffering their biggest selloff since Covid, as investors see premature end to AI datacenter boom
DOJ Creates 'Super Intelligence' Task Force to Guard Against AI AbuseWhite House Reviews SEC Proposal to Ease Regulatory Requirements for Crypto Brokers
Wall Street’s best post-midterm rally in 44 years lasted just one day—then $3 trillion vanished as chip stocks plunged over AI fears
Bitcoin traders face Friday’s $2.7 billion options expiry with a dangerous five-hour blind spotTHE BASICS
About Worldcoin
The mission of the Worldcoin project is to build the world’s largest identity and financial network as a public utility, giving ownership to everyone. A key component of the Worldcoin project is the development of the foundational infrastructure that will be important for a world where AI plays an increasingly large role. The Worldcoin system revolves around World ID, a privacy-preserving global identity network. World ID enables users to verify their humanness online while maintaining their privacy through zero-knowledge proofs.
Using World ID, individuals will be able to prove that they are a real, unique human to any platform that integrates with the protocol, including to web3 systems, social networking sites, and governmental programs. This will enable fair airdrops or token/NFT sales, provide protection against bots/sybil attacks on social media, and enable the fairer distribution of limited governmental resources. Furthermore, World ID can also enable global democratic processes and novel forms of governance (e.g., via quadratic voting), and it may eventually show a path to AI-funded UBI.
The Worldcoin token (WLD), alongside World ID, will let users participate in governing the Worldcoin protocol. To engage with the Worldcoin protocol, individuals must first download a first wallet app that supports the creation of a World ID. Users visit a physical imaging device called the Orb to get their World ID Orb-verified. Orbs are operated by a network of independent local businesses called Orb Operators. The Orb uses multispectral sensors to verify humanness and uniqueness to issue an Orb-verified World ID, with all images being promptly deleted on-device per default (absent explicit consent to Data Custody).
All Orb-verified World IDs holders are entitled to claim recurring grants of free WLD tokens, subject to certain availability restrictions. The WLD token is designed as a utility token with governance properties.
Worldcoin price today
| Worldcoin price | $0.3416 |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -9.12% |
| 24h low / high | $0.3369 / $0.3838 |
| Market cap | $1.28B |
| Market cap rank | #66 |
| 24h volume | $259.13M |
| Circulating supply | 3.74B WLD |
| Total supply | 10B WLD |
| Maximum supply | 10B WLD |
| Fully diluted value | $3.42B |
| All-time high | $11.74 · March 9, 2024 |
| All-time low | $0.23 · May 18, 2026 |
What determines Worldcoin's market capitalisation?
Market cap is the latest price ($0.3416) multiplied by the circulating supply (3.74B WLD). It measures the value of units in circulation, not money invested.
Why can WLD prices differ between exchanges?
Each venue has its own order book, fees and liquidity. Prices converge through arbitrage but can differ by the spread, especially on smaller venues. The markets section lists reliable venues first.
How fresh is this data?
Prices come from CoinGecko and refresh about every minute; each figure shows its source and when it was read. If the provider is unavailable, the page says so rather than showing a stale or invented number.
MARKET CONTEXT
Related assets
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COMPARE
Compare Worldcoin
Side by side with the largest assets: size, returns, supply and distance from all-time high.
How to read this market file
Prices, capitalization and volume come from the displayed CoinGecko snapshot. Market capitalization and exchange volume describe different measures; neither is available liquidity for an order. Missing measurements remain blank. The chart opens the exact asset ID: worldcoin-wld.
Not shown right now: exchange markets (the data provider did not answer).
Data sources and editorial standards →