Prediction markets / Polygon
Polymarket
A prediction market where binary outcome tokens trade on a central limit order book and resolve through the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
THE OVERVIEW
What Polymarket does
A Polymarket market is a single binary question with Yes and No outcomes, identified by a condition ID, a question ID and token IDs. Each outcome is a token redeemable for one dollar if that outcome occurs. Events group one or more related markets, and multi-market events can link mutually exclusive outcomes as a negative-risk group. [1]
Shares trade between zero and one dollar, and the price is read as the market’s probability for that outcome. Prices emerge from a central limit order book where users trade with each other; an operator matches compatible orders off chain and matched trades settle through smart contracts on chain, so users keep custody. Outcome tokens are ERC-1155 tokens on Polygon, and every Yes/No pair is backed by one dollar of collateral locked in the conditional token contract. Splitting a dollar creates one of each token and merging a pair returns it. [2]
Resolution uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle. Anyone can propose an outcome by posting a bond, and a challenge period follows; disputes trigger a second round and, if disputed again, a vote by UMA token holders. After resolution winning tokens redeem for one dollar each and losing tokens are worth nothing. The documentation advises reading a market’s resolution rules, not just its title, before trading. [4]
IN PRACTICE
What people use it for
Trade on an outcome
Buy Yes or No shares on the order book at prices that reflect implied probability. [2]
Split and merge collateral
Convert collateral into a Yes/No pair or combine a pair back into collateral. [3]
Redeem after resolution
Exchange winning outcome tokens for collateral once the oracle has resolved the market. [4]
UNDERSTAND THE TECHNOLOGY
Key concepts
FOLLOW THE STORY
Polymarket news & coverage
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GO DEEPER
Official resources & sources
Dextape explanations based on the primary documentation below.