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Anthropic IPO Polymarket Betting Odds of 2026 IPO Hit 82%

Polymarket puts Anthropic’s year-end 2026 IPO odds at 82%, with November favored. Here’s what the timing and valuation markets signal.

Key points

  • Polymarket odds price an Anthropic public sale by December 31, 2026 at 82%, with November leading at roughly 60%–61% and October near 3%.
  • Kalshi's odds of an announcement before November rose from 4.7% on September 28 to 16% on September 30, the article says.
  • Valuation contracts show 27% for $2.0–$2.25 trillion and 24% for $2.25–$2.5 trillion, a combined 51%, without clear consensus.

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