XTZ market file Rank #137

Tezos

$0.3148-1.90% 24h

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Market signalNeutral42 / 10030D +44.11% · 96.5% below ATH

Market cap: $345.69M
Rank: #137
Volume (24h): $6.27M1.8% of cap
Circulating supply: 1.1BXTZ
Fully diluted value: $351.97M

PRICE HISTORY

Tezos price chart

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MODEL SCENARIOS

Tezos price prediction

How far Tezos could move over the coming weeks and months, read from its own past year of daily moves, with the evidence behind each range. Recomputed daily.

Horizon

Reference close$0.3149

Median outcome$0.2564 -18.6%

Target dateJan 1, 2027

XTZ 90-day range

Actual
Median
50%
80%
95%

Explore the horizon · Day 90 · Jan 1, 2027

$0.2564 median -18.6% · 80% band $0.1624–$0.3984

Actual daily closes from Oct 4, 2025 to the $0.3149 reference close on Oct 3, 2026. The median and the 50%, 80% and 95% bands extend to Jan 1, 2027.

How this prediction is built

Dextape resamples Tezos’s own daily price changes to estimate a range of possible future prices. The model replays the observed daily returns in random order along 1,200 paths, then reads the spread of outcomes at each day of the horizon. It shows how wide outcomes have been, not where the price will go, and it is not investment advice.

01
Return sample
365 observed daily log returns from the trailing year, used as drawn.
365 days
02
Bootstrap paths
Seeded resampling, so the same inputs always give the same bands.
1,200 paths
03
Historical replay
8 past windows re-run with the same method; a calibrated 80% band holds about 80% of realised closes.
75% inside

Model sensitivities

Horizon	Median	80% band width	Replay coverage
7D	$0.3115	±12.2%	83% of 80
30D	$0.2926	±25.2%	74% of 31
90D	$0.2564	±37.5%	75% of 8
1Y	$0.1287	±49.8%	—

Band width grows roughly with the square root of the horizon, as expected for independent daily draws.

Technical details

Log returns from the trailing 365 daily closes are drawn with replacement (a stationary bootstrap with a fixed seed per asset, horizon and reference date, so the output is reproducible). Percentiles of the cumulative return across paths form the 50%, 80% and 95% bands. The historical replay refits the same method on rolling 120-day windows of the past year and counts how often the realised close landed inside the 80% band. No drift, volatility clustering or external signals are modelled.

Risks and limitations

The sample is one year of this asset’s history. Events outside it, such as a delisting, an exploit or a regime change, are not represented.
Daily returns are drawn independently, so volatility clustering and trends are understated. Real drawdowns can run deeper and longer than the bands.
The bands describe the model’s outcomes. They are not a probability that the price reaches any level, and nothing here is a recommendation.

Probabilistic scenario analysis from public Binance daily closes, recomputed daily. Not a guarantee or investment recommendation.

Computing Tezos’s price paths…

MARKET SIGNAL

Why Tezos reads neutral

Historical position weighs on the reading: 13% of the log range from the all-time low to the high. The evidence below produces a neutral reading of current conditions, not a price forecast.

Neutral42 / 100100% data coverage i

Score drivers i

Momentum55% weight+3.8 pts
Historical position20% weight-7.4 pts
Milestone recency15% weight-4.9 pts
Volume confirmation10% weight0 pts

Historical position i

ATL$0.1918Now$0.3148ATH$9.12

13% of the way from the all-time low to the high, on a log scale.

Momentum evidence i

24h: -1.90%
7d: -3.07%
30d: +44.11%
200d: -25.39%
1y: -55.68%

Market context · not scored

Volume (24h): $6.27M
Turnover: 1.81%
Rank: #137
Circulating supply: 1.1B

How this score is calculated Model v1.0

The score starts at a neutral 50 and adds four bounded drivers. Momentum (55%) blends the 24h, 7d, 30d, 200d and 1y moves; each passes through a saturating curve (tanh of the move over a per-window scale of 5, 12, 25, 50 and 80 points) and is weighted 10, 20, 40, 20 and 10 percent. Historical position (20%) maps the log-scale position between the all-time low and high onto −10 to +10 points. Milestone recency (15%) adds up to 7.5 points for an all-time high inside the past 30, 90 or 365 days and subtracts the same for a recent low. Volume confirmation (10%) adds up to 5 points in the direction of the day’s move once 24h turnover exceeds 2% of market value, saturating at 10%.

Readings of 60 or more are labelled bullish, 40 or less bearish. Missing inputs contribute zero and lower the reported data coverage instead of being guessed.

TODAY’S TRADING

Tezos market analysis

Price movement i

24h low$0.3062Now$0.314824h high$0.3291

38% of the way from the day's low to its high · 7.26% range width

1h: -1.63%
24h: -1.90%
7d: -3.07%
30d: +44.11%
200d: -25.39%
1y: -55.68%

Trading activity is quiet i

Turnover: 1.81%24h volume ÷ market cap. Above 8% reads as active, below 2% as quiet.
24h range: 7.26%High minus low as a share of the current price.
Range position: 38%0% is the day's low, 100% the high.

Volume is reported activity, not order-book liquidity. These figures describe observations, not a recommendation.

What if the price moves?

Starting price$0.3148

Scenario price$0.3463

Price change +10%

Change per XTZ: $0.0315. A calculation, not a prediction.

WHERE IT TRADES

Tezos markets

Exchange pairs reported by CoinGecko. Venues that are unrated, stale, anomalous or wide-spread stay hidden until you ask for them.

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THE BASICS

About Tezos

No profile description is available for Tezos.

Tezos price today

Tezos price	$0.3148
24h change	-1.90%
24h low / high	$0.3062 / $0.3291
Market cap	$345.69M
Market cap rank	#137
24h volume	$6.27M
Circulating supply	1.1B XTZ
Total supply	1.12B XTZ
Maximum supply	No hard cap
Fully diluted value	$351.97M
All-time high	$9.12 · October 3, 2021
All-time low	$0.1918 · August 12, 2026

What determines Tezos's market capitalisation?

Market cap is the latest price ($0.3148) multiplied by the circulating supply (1.1B XTZ). It measures the value of units in circulation, not money invested.

Why can XTZ prices differ between exchanges?

Each venue has its own order book, fees and liquidity. Prices converge through arbitrage but can differ by the spread, especially on smaller venues. The markets section lists reliable venues first.

How fresh is this data?

Prices come from CoinGecko and refresh about every minute; each figure shows its source and when it was read. If the provider is unavailable, the page says so rather than showing a stale or invented number.

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How to read this market file

Prices, capitalization and volume come from the displayed CoinGecko snapshot. Market capitalization and exchange volume describe different measures; neither is available liquidity for an order. Missing measurements remain blank. The chart opens the exact asset ID: tezos.

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