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What Drives Stablecoin Supply Growth?
Regression analysis modeling macroeconomic and on-chain factors driving weekly stablecoin growth

Key points
- Coin Metrics reports USDC and USDT supply grew past $255B in 2025, but neither has exceeded 10% month-over-month supply growth in 2026.
- Lagged regression over four years found perp funding rates, competitor supply, crypto market cap and 2-year yield changes significant at the 5% level.
- Adding carry spread added explanatory power only for USDC, which the report links to USDC's DeFi-native collateral role; models explain under 25% of variance.
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Dextape context
Built from Dextape’s own wire, stories and glossary.
Terms in this story
- Stablecoin
- A token designed to track a reference value, usually the US dollar, through reserves, crypto collateral or an algorithm.
Mentioned in this story
Open a coin page for its current price.